The race for Georgia governor is as close as it’s ever been, according to the newest Channel 2 Action News & The Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll released Thursday. According to the new poll, there’s a real possibility of a December runoff between Democrat Stacey Abrams and Republican Brian Kemp.
The poll, conducted by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs, has Abrams at 46.9 percent and Kemp at 46.7 percent of the vote, a statistical tie that’s within the poll’s margin of error of 3 percentage points. It’s the third-consecutive poll that shows the contest is too close to call, and mirrors other recent surveys that point to a Dec. 4 runoff if neither candidate gets the majority-vote needed. A lot depends on the performance of Libertarian Ted Metz, who captured
1.6 percent of the vote, and roughly 5 percent of undecided voters. Trey Hood, the UGA political scientist who conducted the poll, said Metz’s numbers could be further squeezed as the remaining undecided voters make up their minds. “This race hasn’t opened up one way or another. But the 5 percent of undecided voters are either going to make the decision to vote -- or not show up at all,” he said.
“Mathematically there could be a runoff, but it would have to be a super squeaker.” The poll was conducted between Oct. 21-30 and included 1,091 likely voters. GENDER AND RACE The gender gap evident in previous polls has hardened. Kemp leads among men 54.5 percent to 40.5 percent. Abrams has a 53.4 percent to 38.9 percent edge among women.